Quarterly Report
November 15, 2025
48 pages
Q4 2025 Market Review: Positioning for Year-End
Executive Summary
As we enter the final quarter of 2025, markets face a complex environment of moderating growth, evolving monetary policy, and geopolitical uncertainty. This quarterly review provides comprehensive analysis across asset classes.
Market Performance
Equities
Global equities delivered strong returns through Q3, with the S&P 500 up 18% YTD. However, breadth remains narrow, with top 10 stocks driving majority of gains. International markets showing relative value.
Fixed Income
Bond markets stabilized following the rate volatility of 2025. Yields offer attractive entry points, with investment-grade corporate bonds providing compelling risk-adjusted returns.
Alternatives
Real assets including infrastructure and commodities providing inflation protection. Private credit continues attracting institutional capital amid banking sector constraints.
Economic Outlook
US growth moderating to 2% trend, with labor market cooling gradually. Inflation approaching target levels, supporting case for monetary easing. Europe and China facing structural headwinds requiring selective positioning.
- US GDP: 2.0-2.5% growth expected for 2026
- Inflation: Core PCE trending toward 2.2%
- Fed Policy: 2-3 rate cuts anticipated in 2026
- Earnings: S&P 500 EPS growth of 8-10% projected
Portfolio Positioning
- Maintain balanced equity exposure with quality tilt
- Extend duration in fixed income portfolios
- Consider international diversification
- Maintain modest cash allocation for opportunities